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Последствия этих мер в Иране повлияют на компании, которые являются косвенным бизнесом с другими иностранными фирмами. Высший лидер Ирана аятолла Али Хаменеи осудил меры как позор для престижа США, и он уверен, что эти меры уже ухудшили отношения США с другими странами. Администрация Трампа сделала бы положение США более слабым, и страна была бы неудачницей в долгосрочной перспективе.

Секретарь штатов США Майк Помпео заявил, что санкции будут пересмотрены, и Ирану необходимо будет изменить свою позицию по проведению вещей. Трейдеры очень внимательны и очень внимательно смотрят на нефтяной рынок. В соответствии с отмененными санкциями миссия должна приблизить экспорт нефти к нулю. В настоящее время страна производит около 3,4 миллиона баррелей в день. Производство в октябре сократилось всего на 10 000 баррелей в день. Свободная емкость для страны составляет 4,0 млн. Баррелей в сутки.

Было выпущено восемь временных отказов для стран, которые сделали значительные шаги в направлении отказа от импорта иранской нефти. Япония, Индия и Южная Корея получают отказ, а Китай ведет переговоры об отказе от Турции и Тайваня.

Некоторые совершенно замкнутые люди разума считают, что предоставленный отказ является слишком щедрым, и США должны прекратить использование иранскими банками своей системы SWIFT. Не повезло им, встречная реакция уже в игре.

Многолетний союзник США, Германии, Франции и США заявил в совместном заявлении, что решение США о переуступке санкций «глубоко сожалеет». Они будут работать вместе, чтобы поддерживать законные рабочие отношения с Республикой Иран и обеспечивать систему и защиту европейских экономических операторов.

Только Саудовская Аравия, ведущий игрок комитета ОПЕК, имеет возможность заполнить для потерянного предложения. Добыча нефти в Саудовской Аравии достигла уровня 10,68 млн баррелей в день, увеличившись на 150 тыс. Барр. / День. Объем свободной мощности Саудовской Аравии составляет 11,5 млн. Баррелей в день. ОПЕК увеличила выпуск продукции на 430 тыс. Баррелей до 33,33 млн. Баррелей в день в октябре, что было самым высоким показателем с 2016 года.

Рынок нефти был несколько стабильным, так как трейдеры не слишком остро реагируют. Они считают, что увеличение добычи нефти другими нефтяными компаниями и, самое главное, отказ некоторых стран будет продолжать поддерживать иранскую поставку нефти. Вдобавок к этому, у нас кривая спроса смещается, и это сильно поглотило силу рынка.

Еще в октябре цена на нефть выросла до четырехлетнего максимума, но с тех пор разгрома на мировом рынке акций вызвала обеспокоенность по поводу спроса на топливо. Глядя на цены сейчас, можно легко увидеть, что цена находится недалеко от территории медведя. Он упал почти на 16,04% от своего пика.

Комитету ОПЕК необходимо обратить внимание на увеличение объемов добычи нефти, поскольку иранская добыча нефти не замедляется. Страх перед избыточным избытком воды снова проявится, если к 2019 году не будет сдержанности.

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